Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000164 0.000182 0.000201 0.000222 0.000247 0.000274 0.000305
2025-05-11 0.000131 0.000157 0.000186 0.000224 0.000269 0.000324 0.000395
2025-05-18 0.000110 0.000139 0.000174 0.000222 0.000284 0.000365 0.000477
2025-05-25 0.000096 0.000126 0.000165 0.000220 0.000297 0.000401 0.000556
2025-06-01 0.000085 0.000115 0.000156 0.000217 0.000306 0.000432 0.000631
2025-06-08 0.000075 0.000104 0.000146 0.000210 0.000306 0.000451 0.000689
2025-06-15 0.000069 0.000099 0.000143 0.000212 0.000321 0.000492 0.000787
2025-06-22 0.000065 0.000096 0.000141 0.000216 0.000339 0.000539 0.000901
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000089 0.000135 0.000212 0.000342 0.000561 0.000975
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000082 0.000126 0.000203 0.000336 0.000567 0.001019
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000078 0.000123 0.000203 0.000347 0.000604 0.001126
2025-07-20 0.000048 0.000076 0.000122 0.000207 0.000362 0.000650 0.001259
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000072 0.000119 0.000205 0.000370 0.000685 0.001379
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000070 0.000117 0.000207 0.000384 0.000735 0.001542
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000066 0.000113 0.000206 0.000392 0.000773 0.001685
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000063 0.000110 0.000204 0.000399 0.000812 0.001836
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000060 0.000106 0.000201 0.000403 0.000844 0.001979
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000056 0.000101 0.000194 0.000398 0.000854 0.002068
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000054 0.000100 0.000197 0.000413 0.000913 0.002297
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000053 0.000100 0.000201 0.000432 0.000984 0.002575
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000051 0.000096 0.000196 0.000432 0.001008 0.002724
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000047 0.000091 0.000188 0.000420 0.001002 0.002784
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000046 0.000089 0.000189 0.000431 0.001056 0.003038